TIMING Equity Sample Report

DE3 Reports

This Group has five daily reports and five monthly reports:

1. All Orders for stocks (daily) using SPY, QQQ, or IWM as a hedge.

2. All Orders for ETF sectors (daily) using only SPY for a hedge.

3. Two samplePortfolio Orders reports for stocks (daily)

4. One sample Portfolio Order report for ETFs (daily)

5. Three Portfolio Performance reports (NAVs), two for stocks and one for ETFs (updated monthly)

6. Two cumulative NAVs Performance reports, by market, one for stocks and one for ETFs (updated monthly)

G3 Timing Stocks Orders All

Timing Program All Orders Reports (Daily)

This program takes long positions in stocks when they are undervalued with respect to their index, and hedges the risk using the index when the trend of the broad market turns down. The hedge may be taken in the SPY, QQQ, or IWM, whichever is appropriate for that stock. The double-leveraged inverse ETF can be used for hedging in retirement accounts. The All Orders reports are similar for stocks and ETFs, although only 16 sector SPDR ETFs are tracked in the ETF portfolio. In order to have a viable arbitrage, the program needs to have an index appropriate for the underlying ETF.

On the first line of the following report we see that ABC is hedged using SPY, and has a current position long 116 shares. There is no hedge at this time. When a hedge is needed it will show under the headings New Hedge, Hedge Position, and Hedge Qty, and the profit or loss of both stock and hedge position will be shown in the Combined P/L column. This report shows new positions of 444 shares to be entering in MT, and  139 shares to be entered in NUE, on the next open.

 

Timing Program Stock Sample Portfolio Order Reports (Daily)

The daily Timing Orders reports show the trends of the three broad index markets in the top right. A U means that the trend is up and D means that it is down. At this time the fast and medium trends for SPY and QQQ are down, while the slowest trends are up. Because each downtrend indicates a hedge of 1/3 the aggregate position risk, with a maximum hedge of 50%, this situation will produce a hedge of 2/6th the total risk for all positions using SPY or QQQ as a hedge. As of this report, there is a hedge of 322 shares of SPY and 121 shares of QQQ, which can be seen at the bottom. That position will change today because there is an order to buy 20 SPY  and sell 29 QQQ due to changing positions in the portfolio. Note that the market used for hedging is shown to the right of the symbol. It is not always the index of the exchange where this market is listed, but rather the best tracking for each market. In this example there are no markets that are hedged using IWM. Investors trading in a retirement account will find that buying 1/2 the SPY amount using SDS will be a similar hedge. The recommended amount is always shown below SPY and QQQ.

Note that it is always best to calculate your own position size, based on your investment per market. Instructions are at the top of each Order sheet.

The Timing Orders for ETFs will have exactly the same format, but will only include 8 of 16 SPDR ETFs.

New Timing 15 Orders

Portfolio Performance (Updated Monthly)

We track the results of all sample portfolios and update the NAVs monthly. At the end of the report is a summary of the performance. Both the stock and ETF portfolio reports are the same format. The following is a recent period from the 15 stock portfolio. The summary table has two parts, one showing the performance of the stock trades without any hedge, and the other the combined results of stock and hedge.

G3 Timing Portfolio NAVs stocks 15

Performance of Individual Stocks and ETFs (Updated Monthly)

In order to create you own portfolios, we have provided tables of NAVs for each stock and ETF, with and without the hedge. These are arranged alphabetically in rows. The sample below shows a recent period of results of the combine stock and hedge.

G3 Timing Stocks NAV Table (with hedge)

 Disclaimers

All Order reports have the following Disclaimers:

2014-05-06_Disclaimer

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